The Wittgenstein Centre at the PAA Annual Meeting 2016

The Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (PAA) provides a forum for demographers, sociologists, economists, public health professionals, and other individuals interested in research and education in the field of population. In 2016 the conference is taking place between 31 March-2 April in Washington, D.C., USA. Researchers from the Wittgenstein Centre will present and discuss new research in presentations and poster sessions at this important event.

Wittgenstein Centre contributions at the PAA

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Poster Session P1: Health and Mortality 1, 08:15 AM - 09:45 AM

• P1-10: General and Domain-Specific Cognitive Performance Contributes to Gender Differences in Educational and Occupational Choices • Serhiy Dekhtyar, Daniela Weber, Jonas Helgertz, Agneta Herlitz
• P1-74: Rather Die Younger? Old Age Expectations and Preferred Life Expectancy • Catherine Bowen, Vegard Skirbekk

Poster Session P3: Data, Methods, Families, and Unions, 12:45 PM - 02:15 PM  

• P3-51: Measuring Education from Present to Past - the Construction of a Global Dataset on the Educational Attainment in the 20th Century • Anne Goujon, Markus Speringer, Michaela Potancokova, Samir K.C., Ramon Bauer, Jakob Eder
• P3-66: Using Birth Spacing Information to Estimate Age at First Birth in Incomplete Fertility Histories: How Well Does It Work? • Natalie Nitsche, Silke Aisenbrey

Session 61: Childlessness, 02:45 PM - 04:15 PM

• 61-1: Childlessness Trends in Twentieth-Century Europe: Limited Link to Growing Educational Attainment • Eva Beaujouan, Zuzanna Brzozowska, Kryštof Zeman

Session 67: Fertility Intentions and Relationships, 02:45 PM - 04:15 PM

• 67-2: The Impact of Early Fertility Desires on Union Formation and Timing • Natalie Nitsche

Poster Session P4: Migration, Urbanization, Population, Development, and Environment, 02:45 PM - 04:15 PM

• P4-4: The Effect of Grandchildren on Grandparents' Life Satisfaction • Bruno Arpino, Valeria Bordone, Nicoletta Balbo
• P4-56: Age Differences in Religious Belief Worldwide • Vegard Skirbekk, Marcin Stonawski, Michaela Potancokova, Conrad Hackett
• P4-67: Do Grandchildren Influence How Old You Feel? • Valeria Bordone, Bruno Arpino
• P4-78: Attitudes Toward Homosexuality Change through the Demographic Metabolism: An International Comparison • Wolfgang Lutz, Erich Striessnig
• P4-86: Mapping Expected Change in Muslim and Christian Populations, 2010-2050 • Conrad Hackett, Timmy Huynh, Marcin Stonawski, Vegard Skirbekk, Michaela Potancokova

Session 93: Population Change and Demographic Dividends: Past, Present, and Future, 04:30 PM - 06:00 PM

• 93-4: Are We Overly Dependent on Conventional Dependency Ratios? • Warren C. Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov

Poster Session P5: Aging, Gender, Race, and Ethnicity, 04:45 PM - 06:15 PM

• P5-16: Religious Contention Today and Scenarios for the Future • Ragnhild Nordås, Vegard Skirbekk, Marcin Stonawski, Michaela Potancokova

Friday, April 01, 2016

Poster Session P6: Fertility, Family Planning, Sexual Behavior, and Reproductive Health 2, 08:15 AM - 09:45 AM

• P6-2: The Role of Tempo Effect in the Ultra-Low Fertility in South Korea • Sam Hyun Yoo, Tomas Sobotka
• P6-63: Changing Partnership and Fertility • Eva Beaujouan, Maria Winkler-Dworak, Paola DiGiulio, Martin Spielauer
• P6-68: The Impact of the Great Recession on Age-Specific Fertility in Europe • Anna Matysiak, Tomas Sobotka, Daniele Vignoli

Session 123: Methods for Estimating and Analyzing Life Expectancy and Lifespan, 10:15 AM - 11:45 AM

• 123-2: The Longitudinal Survival Method for the Estimation of Life Expectancy from Survey Data with Mortality Follow-up • Marc Luy, Christian Wegner-Siegmundt

Session 124: Migration and the Environment, 10:15 AM - 11:45 AM

• 124-2: When the Well Runs Dry, Where Do We Go Now? Exploring Internal Migration Due to Climate Stress in Asia and Central and South America • Guy Abel, Raya Muttarak

Session 141: Fertility Intentions: Stability, Meaning and Predictive Validity, 01:00 PM - 02:30 PM

• 141-5: How Much of Fertility Intentions Are Realized in Two Years? Predictive Power of Short-Term Fertility Intentions and Variation over the Life Course • Sam Hyun Yoo

Session 143: Global Perspectives on Immigration Policy, 01:00 PM - 02:30 PM

• 143-4: Optimal Fertility and Migration: A Simulation Exercise for Austria with Economic Data • Thomas Lindner, Erich Striessnig, Wolfgang Lutz

Session 147: Low Fertilit, 01:00 PM - 02:30 PM

• 147-3: The Low Fertility Future? Projections Based on Different Methods Suggest Long-Term Persistence of Low Fertility • Tomas Sobotka, Kryštof Zeman, Stuart Basten

Session 160: Explaining Gender Differences in Health and Mortality, 02:45 PM - 04:15 PM

• 160-1: Testing the Gender and Health Paradox: Insights from a Natural Experiment • Marc Luy, Angela Wiedemann, Christian Wegner-Siegmundt, Paola DiGiulio

Saturday, April 02, 2016

Session 177: Extreme-Event Risk Perceptions and Consequences, 09:00 AM - 10:30 AM

• 177-2: Learn from the Past, Prepare for the Future: Impacts of Education and Experience on Disaster Preparedness in the Philippines and Thailand • Roman Hoffmann, Raya Muttarak

Session186: Migration Data and Estimation, 09:00 AM - 10:30 AM

• 186-2: The Form and Evolution of International Migration Flow Networks • Guy Abel, Jack DeWaard, Jasmine Trang Ha, Zack Almquist

Session 206: Subnational Population Estimates and Forecasts: How Do We Estimate 'the Parts' in the Context of 'the Whole'? 10:45 AM - 12:15 PM

• 206-2: Projecting the Regional Explicit Socioeconomic Heterogeneity in India • Markus Speringer, Samir K.C.

Poster Session 11: Economy, Labor Force Participation, Education, and Inequality, 11:00 AM - 12:30 PM

• P11-20: Inequality after the Great Recession: The Education Gap in Unemployment and Temporary Employment in Families Across Europe and in the United States • Alicia Adsera, Caroline Berghammer

For detailed information to the PAA 2016 please visit the event website.

Publications

• Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer
• Abel GJ (2016) Estimates of Global Bilateral Migration Flows by Gender between 1960 and 2015. VID Working Paper 2/2016.
• Beaujouan E, Brzozowska Z, Zeman K (2015) Childlessness Trends in Twentieth-Century Europe: Limited Link to Growing Educational Attainment. VID Working Paper 6/2015.
• Bordone V, Arpino B (2015) Do grandchildren influence how you feel? Journal of Aging and Health, Article in press.
• Hoffmann R, Muttarak R (2015) A Tale of Disaster Experience in Two Countries: Does Education Promote Disaster Preparedness in the Philippines and Thailand. VID Working Paper 9/2015.
• Sanderson W, Scherbov S (2015). Are we overly dependent on conventional dependency ratios? Population and Development Review, 41, 687–708.
• Speringer M, Goujon A, KC S, Eder J, Potancokova M, Bauer R (2015) Validation of the Wittgenstein Centre Back-projections for Populations by Age, Sex, and Six Levels of Education from 2010 to 1970. IIASA Interim Report IR-15-008 (04 15).
• Stonawski M, Potancokova M, Skirbekk V (2015) Fertility patterns of native and migrant Muslims in Europe. Population, Space and Place, Article in press.